According to the final estimate of the German Federal Statistical Office, the GDP of Europe's largest economy increased by 2.5% year-on-year in the third quarter of 2021. The indicator coincided with analysts' forecasts and preliminary assessment. The indicator, taking into account seasonal adjustments, also increased by 2.5% year-on-year. In quarterly terms, the German economic growth estimate was downgraded to 1.7% from 1.8%. GDP growth in the second quarter was revised from 10.3% to 10.4%, seasonally adjusted – from 9.8% to 10%. The estimate of quarterly growth in the second quarter was improved from 1.9% to 2%. Analysts note that at the moment there is a gradual recovery of the German economy. It continued in the summer after GDP grew by 2.0% in the second quarter of 2021. At the same time, many expect that economic growth will slow down at the end of the year due to supply problems and the deterioration of the coronavirus situation. It is possible that the German economy will stop its growth in the fourth quarter. Data on the index of consumer confidence in the German economy for December are also of interest. According to the statistics of the research company GfK, the indicator fell to minus 1.6 points from the revised November value of 1 point. And the value of November was revised up to 1 point from 0.9 points. The index of current economic expectations fell to 31 points in November from 46.6 points in October. Experts note that consumer sentiment today is influenced by two factors: an increase in coronavirus cases, and a decrease in consumer purchasing power due to a high inflation rate of 4%.
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