The U.S. economy enters 2025 with positive forecasts, despite the risks associated with high interest rates, a possible weakening of the labor market and political instability. Consumption remains steady, corporate profits are growing, and businesses are investing in technology and preparing for the AI revolution. According to forecasts, GDP growth in 2025 will be 2.5%, which is only slightly below the level of 2024. The S&P 500 index is also expected to grow by 12% due to successful corporate performance. However, challenges remain: the labor market is showing a slowdown in hiring, and the number of long-term unemployed is increasing. The Fed raised its inflation forecast to 2.5% for 2025 and is likely to limit further rate cuts, which will put pressure on corporate and government debt. Investments in equipment and technology continue to grow, which supports economic dynamics. Nevertheless, Donald Trump's program, which includes tariffs and reforms, may pose risks to inflation and market stability in the long term. In general, experts remain optimistic: consumption, business investment and technological innovation will be the drivers of growth.
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