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Historical view: how markets react to stagflation


Apríl, 04 2025
watermark Economic news

With the growing threat of stagflation, analysts have studied how markets are responding to a combination of slowing growth and accelerating inflation. Historically, the S&P 500 index has performed better than its regional counterparts in the context of weak economic growth. 


Among the leading industries are energy, healthcare, food, and software, which consistently show positive dynamics in both the United States and Europe.


The sectors of real estate, media, insurance, financial and communication services, as well as the production of automotive components turned out to be the least stable in such conditions. These industries often perform the worst during periods of stagflation.


The fixed income market, in turn, is also undergoing significant changes. In conditions of stagflation, credit spreads tend to widen noticeably, especially against the background of a bullish tightening of the government bond yield curve. This factor plays a key role in changing the dynamics of the debt market.


Among commodity assets, gold has historically outperformed copper in terms of profitability in conditions of weak growth and high inflation, confirming its attractiveness as part of trading strategies in such scenarios.


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Foreign exchange is highly speculative and complex in nature, and may not be suitable for all investors. Forex trading may result in a substantial gain or loss. Therefore, it is not advisable to invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before using the services offered by ForexMart, please acknowledge the risks associated with forex trading. Seek independent financial advice if necessary. Please note that neither past performance nor forecasts are reliable indicators of future results.
Foreign exchange is highly speculative and complex in nature, and may not be suitable for all investors. Forex trading may result in a substantial gain or loss. Therefore, it is not advisable to invest money you cannot afford to lose. Before using the services offered by ForexMart, please acknowledge the risks associated with forex trading. Seek independent financial advice if necessary. Please note that neither past performance nor forecasts are reliable indicators of future results.