Major Central Banks Policies Turn Hawkish Forecast

There is a big expectation for major central banks not to implement easing of monetary policy despite of small hints in the momentum of inflation as shown in the poll from Reuters. At the same time, it implies that there is a momentum on analysts particularly to Europe, India, and China that represents about 40 percent of the total population worldwide. They predicted that the global economy will get improve rather than “worse” next year.

Although, there is still economic risks amid a decade of monetary stimulus has passed and aggregated asset purchases for a total of $15 trillion. Growth forecast has improved to 3.6 percent in 2018 from the current 3.5 percent for 2017. Yet, inflation prediction is declined than last year were greater than half of the central banks polled are foreseen to cut rates or tighten it.

In September, the Fed is presumed to curtail its $4 trillion worth of portfolio bonds and rate hike for the third time by the last quarter of the year while the European Central Bank plans to tighten its monetary policy after an “ultra-easy” policy actions rooted on the progress of the economic growth.