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Mexico’s Central Bank Lower Growth Forecast Amid NAFTA Talks


August, 30 2018
watermark Economic news

The central bank of Mexico adjusted lower their forecast for this year and the next, based on the report released on Wednesday. Although, the NAFTA trade talks could allay the uncertainty of the economy.

The gross domestic product is anticipated to rise between 2.0 and 2.6 percent in 2018 compared to the previous inflation report of 2.0 to 3.0 percent, which may denote a problem in the future.

Growth forecast for 2019 is around 1.8 and 2.8 percent much lower than the range of 2.2 and 3.2 percent. The fourth quarter inflation is presumed to be at 4.2 percent this year, higher than the former 3.8 percent.

Other than that, the central bank raised its inflation estimates for 2018 and the next close to the 3.0 percent target in the first half of 2020.

For 2019, the central bank increased the inflation estimate to 3.3 percent for the fourth quarter next year than the 3.1 percent previously.

The board said that monetary policy will be adjusted and will continue to do so if the situation demands a more “firm” approach to reach the inflation target.

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Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.