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Investors expect the Fed to weaken its monetary policy amid the inflation data


November, 11 2022
watermark Economic news

Yesterday, important data on inflation in the United States were published, showing a slowdown in consumer price growth in the country. After the release of statistics, investors began to expect that the Federal Reserve will reduce the size of the rate hike at a meeting in December.


In particular, US inflation fell to 7.7% in October, while analysts expected it to rise to 8%. At the same time, overall inflation last month reached a 40-year high of 8.2%. 


Fresh data managed to slightly change forecasts regarding the next rate hike by the US Federal Reserve. Now investors expect that at the meeting on December 13-14, the regulator will raise the rate by only 50 basis points. Prior to that, the Fed raised the federal funds rate by 75 bp at each of its last 4 meetings.


However, it is too early to talk about a reversal in the Fed's policy, since the central bank needs to make sure in the coming months that inflation continues to slow down, approaching the target level of 2%. And in order to bring inflation to this level, the Fed has already raised the base rate 6 times in 2022 to a range from 3.75% to 4%.


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Foreign exchange trading carries a high risk of losing money due to leverage and may not be suitable for all investors. Before deciding to invest your money, you should carefully consider all the features associated with Forex, as well as your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk tolerance.