Monday, June 20 The economic calendar at the beginning of the week, as usual, is empty. Moreover, in the United States there is a day off in honor of the Liberation Day celebration, and in the absence of American traders, market activity is significantly reduced. The fact is that it is American financial institutions that control most of the capital turnover in the financial market. Tuesday, June 21 The only thing worth paying attention to on Tuesday is retail sales in Canada (their growth rate may accelerate from 2.7% to 3.1%). And against the background of a decline in consumer activity in Europe and the United States, such a result looks very good, which will contribute to the growth of the Canadian dollar. In the evening, the United States will present statistics on sales in the secondary housing market in May – analysts predict a decline from 5.61 million to 5.39 million. Wednesday, June 22 The main event on Wednesday will be the release of inflation data in the UK. It is expected that it should accelerate from 9.0% to 9.2%. The growth of consumer prices in the country is already very high, and even though the Bank of England intends to raise the rate further, this clearly scares investors. Therefore, on Wednesday, the pound will be under pressure. Canada will also present statistics on inflation – the growth rate of consumer prices should accelerate from 6.8% to 7.0%. The numbers aren't as terrifying as in the UK, but they're still pretty big. So the Canadian dollar will also lose its positions. Thursday, June 23 Thursday will be the day of publication of preliminary data on business activity indices in all countries of the world. Experts predict a widespread decline in indices, so the currencies of the countries will also show weakening. First, the Australian dollar and the yen will show a decline. After them, the single European currency and the pound sterling will go down. However, after the opening of the US trading session, the US dollar will begin to lose its positions, so the market will return to its original positions. Data on applications for unemployment benefits will not help the dollar either, as they will level themselves (a slight decrease in the number of initial applications will be offset by a slight increase in repeated ones). Friday, June 24 Friday starts with the publication of inflation data in Japan, which may well lead to a steady rise in the yen. The fact is that inflation should decrease from 2.5% to 2.3%. And in the current conditions, the decline in inflation is perceived exclusively as a positive moment. Moreover, the approach of inflation to the target level of the Bank of Japan gives hope that the regulator will soon begin tightening monetary policy. The pound will also grow at the end of the week, but already due to retail sales data – the pace of their decline should slow down from -4.9% to -4.1%.
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